NCAA Tournament Predictions: Iowa vs. Davidson

AP Photo

OTHER MATCHUPS: We Predict the Field

7. Iowa (21-11, 12-6/Big Ten)–The Hawkeyes are back in the Big Dance after a 21-win season and a 12-6 finish in one of the best leagues in the country. Iowa has a couple of excellent big men in 6-9 senior Aaron White (16 points, 7.5 rebounds per), and 6-8 junior Jarrod Uthoff (12.3 ppg, 6.3 rpg). White earned first team All-Big Ten honors, and as he goes, so go the Hawks.

Aaron White (AP Photo)
Aaron White (AP Photo)

Iowa didn’t win very many of its statement games (save for a Dec. 3 win at North Carolina and a 71-55 home triumph over Maryland), and did have some bad losses (Minnesota, Northwestern, Penn State). But the Hawkeyes did go 10-6 against NCAA Tournament teams.

The problem for Iowa is its guards, which struggled shooting the 3 this season, and didn’t do enough to support White and Uthoff.

KEY STATS: 

120th Points per game (69.4)

55th Assists per game (14.4)

57th Points Allowed (61.9)

________________________________________________________________________________

10. Davidson (24-7, 14-4/Atlantic 10)–One of the themes of Selection Sunday was the complete lack of respect for the Atlantic 10, which was hoping to land five bids but had to settle for three. League champion Davidson, which once owned the Southern Conference, afforded itself very well in its new digs in the A-10, going 14-4 and putting together a 10-game winning streak before being dump-trucked by VCU in the conference semis.

Tyler Kalinoski (AP Photo)
Tyler Kalinoski (AP Photo)

The strength of schedule wasn’t great, and that’s probably why the Wildcats were seeded 10th, but make no mistake–this is a good basketball team. Senior guard Tyler Kalinoski averages 17 points, 5.6 rebounds, 4.1 assists and 1.3 steals per game while shooting 47% from the field and 43% from the three-point line. (In other words, dude can ball). He ain’t the only one though–5-11 sophomore Jack Gibbs put up 16.3 points and 4.8 assists per game, and Brian Sullivan (12.8 per) and Jordan Barnham (11.9, 6 rpg) are focal points, too.

KEY STATS:

6th Points per game (79.9)

3rd Assists per game (17.2)

31st Field Goal Percentage (.471)

 

PREDICTION: Davidson shoots the heck out of the ball, shares the heck out of the ball, and rebounds and defends pretty well, too. Iowa has some bigs who can cause problems, but bigs don’t win games in the NCAA Tournament. Guards do. That’s why we’re taking the Wildcats to win in round one and make things interesting before falling to Gonzaga in the Round of 32.

OTHER MATCHUPS: We Predict the Field

http://data.digitalfirstmedia.com/ncaa2013/bracketadvisor/app.html

SportzEdge.com provides commenting to allow for constructive discussion on the stories we cover. In order to comment here, you acknowledge you have read and agreed to our Terms of Service. Commenters who violate these terms, including use of vulgar language or racial slurs, will be banned. Please be respectful of the opinions of others. If you see an inappropriate comment, please flag it for our moderators to review.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s